NFL Week 11 picks, schedule, odds, accidents, fantasy ideas – eastpowernews

The Week 11 NFL schedule for the 2023 season is stacked with nice matchups, and now we have you coated with what it’s essential to know heading into the weekend. Our NFL Nation reporters convey us the most important keys to each recreation and a daring prediction for every matchup.

Moreover, ESPN Stats & Data offers an enormous stat to know and a betting nugget for every contest, and our Soccer Energy Index (FPI) goes contained in the numbers with a recreation projection. Analytics author Seth Walder picks out every matchup’s largest X issue, and fantasy analyst Eric Moody palms out useful fantasy soccer intel. Lastly, Walder and Moody give us remaining rating picks for each recreation. Every part you wish to know is right here in a single spot that will help you prepare for a loaded weekend of NFL soccer.

Let’s get into the total Week 11 slate, together with the surging Raiders visiting the Dolphins, the Jets taking up the Payments and a showdown between the Seahawks and Rams. All of it culminates with a “Monday Evening Soccer” matchup between the Eagles and the Chiefs on ESPN. (Recreation instances are Sunday except in any other case famous.)

Bounce to a matchup:
PIT-CLE | CHI-DET | LAC-GB
LV-MIA | NYG-WSH | DAL-CAR
TEN-JAX | ARI-HOU | TB-SF
NYJ-BUF | SEA-LAR | MIN-DEN
PHI-KC

Thursday: BAL 34, CIN 20
Bye: ATL, IND, NE, NO

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: CLE -1 (32.5)

Storyline to observe: Cleveland’s Myles Garrett is tied for first within the NFL with 11 sacks, whereas Pittsburgh’s T.J. Watt is simply behind him with 10.5. Garrett and Watt have been as impactful as any defensive gamers within the league this season, and their assembly may have a bearing on the Defensive Participant of the Yr dialog. — Jake Trotter

Daring prediction: Every workforce will run for over 200 yards. The Steelers’ floor recreation had its first 200-yard recreation of the season every week in the past behind a balanced assault of Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren. In the meantime, the Browns — already the No. 2 dashing offense within the league — will rely much more on their backs after Deshaun Watson’s season-ending shoulder harm. Whereas the Steelers’ floor protection has been taking part in higher with the return of Cameron Heyward, shedding two key inside linebackers in Cole Holcomb (knee) and Kwon Alexander (torn Achilles) in back-to-back video games figures to take a toll on that group. — Brooke Pryor

Stat to know: Amari Cooper has 715 receiving yards this season and is looking for to be the fifth completely different Browns receiver with at the very least 800 receiving yards of their first 10 video games of a season.

Matchup X issue: Warren, Harris and the Steelers’ floor recreation. It is Pittsburgh’s solely hope to attain factors (on offense) in opposition to a Browns protection that ranks first in anticipated factors added per dropback allowed. Quarterback Kenny Pickett is not going to beat that unit. — Walder

Accidents: Steelers | Browns

What to know for fantasy: The Browns’ protection boasts the fewest whole yards allowed per recreation to opponents. Additionally, Cleveland excels at limiting fantasy level manufacturing for quarterbacks, operating backs and broad receivers. With how poorly Pickett has been taking part in this season, it might be sensible to keep away from beginning Steelers gamers similar to Diontae Johnson or George Pickens this week. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Steelers are 6-1 in opposition to the unfold (ATS) of their previous seven street video games. Unders are 51-24-1 in Steelers street video games prior to now 10 seasons, together with 3-0 this season. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Browns 24, Steelers 14
Walder’s choose: Browns 27, Steelers 9
FPI prediction: CLE, 52.8% (by a mean of 1 level)

Matchup must-reads: Freiermuth monitoring to play vs. Browns, sources say … Watson in ‘disbelief’ as shoulder harm ends season … Resilient Steelers protection faces mounting harm challenges … What Watson’s harm means

1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: DET -7.5 (47.5)

Storyline to observe: The Lions are returning house to host their divisional rivals with a possibility to hit their finest 10-game mark since 1962. Bears quarterback Justin Fields will look to spoil their plans as he returns after lacking the previous 4 video games with a dislocated proper thumb, and he’ll look to interrupt the Lions’ streak of six consecutive divisional victories relationship again to final season — which is their longest streak because the 1970 merger. — Eric Woodyard

Daring prediction: Fields will rush for at the very least 70 yards — a season excessive — in opposition to a Lions protection that has struggled to include operating quarterbacks. He may not but really feel comfy unleashing his deep ball only one month faraway from dislocating a thumb, however the Bears quarterback can use his legs to maintain drives alive, much like the way in which quarterback Lamar Jackson’s scrambling (36 rush yards, one landing) challenged the Lions defensively of their Week 7 loss to the Ravens. — Courtney Cronin

Stat to know: Detroit operating again Jahmyr Gibbs has a dashing landing in three straight video games. He’s one shy of matching the longest streak by a Lions rookie (Kevin Jones in 2014, Barry Sanders in 1989).

Matchup X issue: Bears broad receiver DJ Moore. If Chicago goes to have an opportunity in opposition to Detroit, it would want some game-breaking performs. Moore, who ranks third in YAC rating in our receiver monitoring metrics, is the one non-QB playmaker on the offense who can ship that. — Walder

Accidents: Bears | Lions

What to know for fantasy: Jared Goff and the Lions’ passing recreation are positioned for an additional large efficiency in opposition to the Bears. This season, Chicago is permitting the Eleventh-most fantasy factors to quarterbacks. Over the previous two seasons, Goff has averaged 21.4 fantasy factors per recreation at house. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Lions are 5-0 ATS in opposition to groups that at the moment have shedding data this season. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Lions 34, Bears 17
Walder’s choose: Lions 24, Bears 17
FPI prediction: DET, 68.8% (by a mean of 6.6 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Bears planning on Fields beginning at QB in opposition to Lions … Montgomery thriving forward of Bears reunion … Sweat has invigorated the Bears’ protection

1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: LAC -3 (43.5)

Storyline to observe: Justin Herbert (sixth total) and Jordan Love (Twenty sixth) had been the third and fourth quarterbacks taken within the first spherical of the 2020 draft. Herbert has 58 begins below his belt since taking on in Week 2 of his rookie 12 months, whereas Love is making simply his Eleventh profession begin (and tenth this season). The Chargers had been 6-9 with Herbert because the starter throughout his rookie 12 months, they usually’re 29-29 total in regular-season video games that he has began. Love seems headed towards an identical first-year file as a starter except the Packers can flip issues round, starting with this recreation, due to what’s forward (at Detroit on Thanksgiving, adopted by a go to from the Chiefs). — Rob Demovsky

Daring prediction: Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon will mix for at the very least 200 yards. Jones and Dillon are among the many finest operating again duos within the NFL, main the Packers to over 100 yards dashing in 4 of their previous 5 video games. The Chargers allowed 200 dashing yards and three touchdowns to the Lions final week. Los Angeles’ protection may very well be in for an additional thrashing on the bottom in opposition to Inexperienced Bay, which ranks tenth within the league in dashing yards per recreation over the previous three video games (124.7). — Kris Rhim

Stat to know: Linebacker Joey Bosa has 6.5 sacks in eight video games this season. His 67.0 profession sacks are the third most by a Charger since particular person sacks had been first tracked in 1982, trailing Shaun Phillips (69.5) and Leslie O’Neal (105.5).

Matchup X issue: Packers broad receiver Christian Watson. He hasn’t exceeded 37 receiving yards in a recreation since Week 5. This is a chance for each Love and Watson to provide in opposition to a weak Chargers protection. They usually’ll need to if Inexperienced Bay is to have an opportunity. — Walder

Accidents: Chargers | Packers

What to know for fantasy: Beginning Love in fantasy this season will not be for the faint of coronary heart, however he has a positive matchup in opposition to the Chargers’ protection and hopefully can capitalize on it with the plethora of offensive playmakers he has at his disposal. The Commanders are the one different protection that enables extra fantasy factors per recreation to quarterbacks this season. Put your Packers gamers in your fantasy lineups. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Packers are 1-5 ATS of their previous six video games. And unders are 6-1 prior to now seven Chargers video games. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Chargers 23, Packers 20
Walder’s choose: Chargers 27, Packers 23
FPI prediction: LAC, 67% (by a mean of 5.9 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Chargers share blame as they undergo fourth one-score lack of the season … Love nonetheless on the lookout for a go-to pass-catcher … Staley to maintain calling performs for protection

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Will Chargers-Packers be a high-scoring affair?

Tyler Fulghum leans to the Packers-Chargers recreation being below the scoring line.

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: MIA -13.5 (46.5)

Storyline to observe: The Raiders personal the NFL’s fourth-worst run protection, permitting 135.6 yards per recreation on the bottom. Whereas Miami’s run recreation has dipped a bit over its previous 4 video games, it averages 185 dashing yards per recreation when De’Von Achane is energetic — and he’s slated to make his return from injured reserve Sunday. If he is taking part in, it may make issues fascinating for an in any other case stout Raiders protection (198.7 passing yards allowed per recreation). — Marcel Louis-Jacques

Daring prediction: Josh Jacobs would be the first participant to hurry for 2 TDs in opposition to Miami this season. The Dolphins’ No. 13-ranked dashing protection has not given up a dashing rating since Week 7 and has surrendered a number of dashing TDs in a recreation solely 3 times this season. However the Raiders’ All-Professional RB is rounding into type — he’s coming off his first 100-yard dashing recreation of the season — and the operating recreation is a degree of emphasis to maintain the Dolphins’ high-flying offense off the sector. — Paul Gutierrez

Stat to know: Interim coach Antonio Pierce is trying to change into the second Raiders coach within the Tremendous Bowl period to win every of his first three profession video games (Invoice Callahan began 4-0 in 2002).

Matchup X issue: Dolphins coach Mike McDaniel. His offense is quietly just a little chilly. Miami ranks twentieth in EPA per play on offense since Week 7. Nonetheless, the one method Miami loses is that if it beats itself. The Raiders’ protection ought to let the Dolphins get up a bit. — Walder

Accidents: Raiders | Dolphins

What to know for fantasy: Whereas the Dolphins lead the league with 287.4 passing yards per recreation, fantasy managers should not underestimate the Raiders’ cross protection. Las Vegas has allowed the seventh-fewest fantasy factors per recreation to broad receivers. The Dolphins are closely favored on this recreation, and it is value noting that the Raiders’ protection provides up the eighth-most fantasy factors per recreation to operating backs. This means that Raheem Mostert and Achane may ship epic performances. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Every of the previous eight conferences has gone over the full. However Raiders video games are 8-2 to the below this season, tied for the very best below share within the NFL (with the Giants). Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Dolphins 35, Raiders 16
Walder’s choose: Dolphins 31, Raiders 16
FPI prediction: MIA, 90.5% (by a mean of 17.5 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Raiders hope Mayer is able to break by … Achane will impression technique when he returns … Revitalized Jacobs key for Raiders as schedule toughens … Dolphins open window for Achane’s doable return from IR

1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: WSH -9.5 (37.5)

Storyline to observe: The Commanders allowed six sacks of their 14-7 loss to the Giants in October, giving them a complete of 40 allowed on Sam Howell — and placing him on tempo for an NFL-record 97. However within the subsequent three video games mixed, Washington allowed solely seven sacks, a byproduct of 1 key lineup change (inserting Tyler Larsen at middle for Nick Gates, giving the road extra bulk) and Howell’s gained expertise. The Giants have had solely 9 sacks of their different 9 video games mixed. If they can not get to Howell once more, it may very well be a protracted day for New York. — John Keim

Daring prediction: Daron Payne will get 2.0 sacks. It is notable as a result of the Commanders defensive sort out has just one sack this season after 11.5 final 12 months. However Payne had two final season in opposition to New York, and the inside of the Giants’ offensive line is not significantly sturdy. So there ought to be alternatives, particularly with rookie Tommy DeVito typically holding the ball longer than mandatory at quarterback. — Jordan Raanan

Stat to know: Giants operating again Saquon Barkley has gone 5 straight video games with out a dashing landing, and a sixth such recreation would tie the second-longest drought of his profession.

Matchup X issue: Howell. He has been taking part in nicely and taking fewer sacks, however he is nonetheless a high-variance participant. The Giants’ offense is nonfunctional, so the Commanders must restrict errors — which they need to … however once more, Howell is a high-variance quarterback. — Walder

Accidents: Giants | Commanders

What to know for fantasy: Washington operating again Brian Robinson Jr. is coming off a 27.7 fantasy level efficiency in Week 10 in opposition to the Seahawks, and you’ll belief him in opposition to the Giants on Sunday. This season, the Giants’ protection has allowed the ninth-most fantasy factors to operating backs and the second-most dashing touchdowns per recreation. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Giants are 2-7-1 ATS this season, together with 1-5 ATS on the street. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Commanders 30, Giants 16
Walder’s choose: Commanders 20, Giants 12
FPI prediction: WSH, 71% (by a mean of seven.5 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Giants downplay frustration on the sideline in loss to Cowboys … Forbes ejected after helmet-to-helmet hit … DeVito to start out vs. Commanders … How Howell is shrugging off the hits in Washington

1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: DAL -10.5 (42.5)

Storyline to observe: This can be a mismatch at each stage. The Cowboys rank fourth in factors allowed (18.3 per recreation) and third in whole protection (275.1 yards per recreation). The Panthers rank twenty ninth in scoring (17 factors per recreation) and thirtieth in whole offense (275.6 yards per recreation), and coach Frank Reich simply took the playcalling duties away from offensive coordinator Thomas Brown three video games after giving them to him. So there may be unrest there. Defensively, it is virtually as dangerous, although the Panthers have held opponents to a mean of 18.7 factors prior to now three video games. The ten.5 factors Dallas is favored by could be too low. — David Newton

Daring prediction: Cowboys operating again Tony Pollard will rush for greater than 100 yards. That may not appear to be an enormous deal when dealing with the Twenty sixth-ranked run protection in Carolina (131.9 per recreation), however Pollard has only one 100-yard recreation this season (Week 3 at Arizona). Via 9 video games final season, he had three 100-yard video games and two extra with greater than 80 yards. In eight video games at Carolina, Dallas has had three 100-yard rushers. Pollard can be the Cowboys’ first since Marion Barber in 2007. — Todd Archer

Stat to know: Carolina quarterback Bryce Younger has been sacked 29 instances this season (fourth most within the NFL). Because the 1970 merger, David Carr (49 in 2002) and Joe Burrow (32 in 2020) are the one No. 1 total QBs to be sacked 30-plus instances of their first 9 profession video games.

Matchup X issue: Panthers slot nook Troy Hill. He’ll in all probability face a fair proportion of the scorching scorching CeeDee Lamb — a tricky project. But when the Panthers wish to contend on this recreation, they will need to decelerate the Cowboys’ passing assault in some way. Hill has a better-than-average 0.9 yards per protection snap allowed this season, per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. — Walder

Accidents: Cowboys | Panthers

What to know for fantasy: Over the previous three video games, Pollard has scored a complete of 21.3 fantasy factors. In opposition to the Panthers’ protection, which has given up the second-most fantasy factors per recreation to operating backs, his fortunes may change. Carolina has allowed 15 touchdowns to operating backs, too. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Highway favorites of at the very least seven factors are 0-8-1 ATS this season (4-5 outright). That is the second time a workforce has been a double-digit street favourite. In Week 3, the Cowboys misplaced outright as 11-point favorites in Arizona. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Cowboys 34, Panthers 13
Walder’s choose: Cowboys 26, Panthers 14
FPI prediction: DAL, 84.3% (by a mean of 13.5 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Lamb, Prescott on an epic tear for Cowboys … Reich takes again playcalling duties … Cowboys rebound from Eagles loss with historic rout of Giants … Panthers, Younger ‘pissed off’ by loss to Bears

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Is Dak Prescott’s large fantasy efficiency an indication of issues to return?

Tristan H. Cockcroft formally declares “Dak is again” after the second-best fantasy efficiency of his profession.

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: JAX -7 (39.5)

Storyline to observe: This recreation may come all the way down to which offensive line holds up higher and protects the quarterback. Titans rookie QB Will Levis has been sacked 10 instances in three video games, and Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence has been sacked 24 — which is three shy of his 2022 whole. Denico Autry, Arden Key and Jeffery Simmons have accounted for 13 of the Titans’ 24 sacks, whereas Josh Allen and Travon Walker have accounted for 12.5 of the Jaguars’ 18. — Mike DiRocco

Daring prediction: The Titans will rating a landing on the street. Tennessee has scored solely twice in six video games away from Nissan Stadium this season, and it hasn’t scored by way of the passing recreation on the street all season. That may change in opposition to the Jaguars this week. Jacksonville’s protection is giving up 21.2 factors per recreation. — Turron Davenport

Stat to know: Titans operating again Derrick Henry has 4 consecutive 100-yard dashing video games in opposition to the Jaguars. And the Jaguars have the league’s fifth-best dashing protection this season, permitting simply 86.4 yards per recreation.

Matchup X issue: The Jaguars’ offensive line. A technique this recreation may go awry for Jacksonville is that if it lets the Titans’ cross rush — Simmons, Key, Autry and Harold Landry III — get to Lawrence. Jacksonville ranks simply thirty first in cross block win fee. — Walder

Accidents: Titans | Jaguars

What to know for fantasy: The Titans hand over the second-fewest fantasy factors per recreation to tight ends. Tennessee has additionally not surrendered a landing to the place. Managers with Evan Engram on their rosters ought to have lifelike expectations. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Jaguars are 4-1 ATS this season as favorites with three straight covers. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Jaguars 27, Titans 20
Walder’s choose: Jaguars 23, Titans 17
FPI prediction: JAX, 70% (by a mean of seven factors)

Matchup must-reads: Titans should defend rookie Levis if they need him to develop … Can ugly loss be a wake-up name for Jaguars, Lawrence?

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: HOU -4.5 (48.5)

Storyline to observe: Texans coach DeMeco Ryans is acquainted with Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray from his days because the 49ers defensive coordinator from 2021 to 2022. Ryans confronted Murray solely as soon as of their 4 potential matchups because of the former No. 1 choose being injured. However of their lone matchup in 2021, Murray led the Cardinals to a 17-10 win and had 239 yards passing with a landing and no turnovers. — DJ Bien-Aime

Daring prediction: Murray will cross for over 300 yards in his second recreation again from proper ACL surgical procedure. He’ll proceed to construct off Sunday’s spectacular return to the sector (249 passing yards, one dashing landing), profiting from a Texans protection that enables 246.4 passing yards per recreation. — Josh Weinfuss

Stat to know: The Cardinals’ eight-game shedding streak on the street has them tied with the Titans for the longest energetic such streak within the NFL; it is their longest street shedding streak since a run of 9 straight from 2012 to ’13.

Matchup X issue: Texans cornerback Derek Stingley Jr. He was again from harm final week, and if he can play on the stage anticipated, based mostly on his No. 3 total draft place in 2022, this protection will begin to look fairly powerful down the stretch. — Walder

Accidents: Cardinals | Texans

What to know for fantasy: C.J. Stroud has accomplished 64.5% of his passes of 20 or extra air yards this season. He’s going up in opposition to a Cardinals protection that provides up the eighth-most fantasy factors per recreation to quarterbacks. Nico Collins, Tank Dell and Noah Brown ought to be in your fantasy lineups. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Cardinals are 0-4 ATS of their previous 4 street video games (0-5 straight up, 1-4 ATS this season on street). Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Texans 26, Cardinals 20
Walder’s choose: Cardinals 23, Texans 20
FPI prediction: HOU, 67.6% (by a mean of 6.1 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Cardinals declare ex-Jets RB Carter off waivers … Stroud leads rookie rankings … Did a special Murray come again from ACL rehab?

4:05 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: SF -11.5 (41.5)

Storyline to observe: San Francisco QB Brock Purdy made his first begin in opposition to the Bucs final 12 months and now begins his second spin by the league with one other recreation in opposition to Tampa Bay. Each of those groups have thrived within the turnover battle, as they’re tied for third within the league in turnover margin, however this recreation may come down as to whether the Bucs can proceed their defensive pink zone dominance. Tampa Bay is first within the league in holding groups out of the tip zone once they get contained in the 20, whereas the Niners are sixth in scoring within the pink zone however have struggled not too long ago, scoring touchdowns on simply 40% of their pink zone journeys of their previous three video games. — Nick Wagoner

Daring prediction: QB Baker Mayfield will not attain 200 passing yards. Mayfield hasn’t dipped beneath 200 since Week 3 in opposition to the Eagles, and that has occurred just one different time this season. And whereas the Niners’ secondary could also be struggling as of late, giving up a 74.3% completion fee since Week 7, they’ve given up solely 120 passing yards whole on throws from exterior the pocket this 12 months — fourth finest within the NFL. And that is the place Mayfield thrives. — Jenna Laine

Stat to know: The 49ers are looking for their seventh 30-point recreation this season. It will be their most by 10 video games since becoming a member of the NFL in 1950.

Matchup X issue: Buccaneers defensive sort out Vita Vea. The inside of the 49ers’ offensive line is pretty weak. That presents a possibility for Vea to disrupt Purdy up the center. If the Bucs are going to have any probability, they will must throw Purdy off his recreation. — Walder

Accidents: Buccaneers | 49ers

What to know for fantasy: Mayfield has posted 16 or extra fantasy factors in 4 consecutive video games, however he tends to wrestle in opposition to gifted defenses, as proven by his 6.8 fantasy factors in opposition to the Lions in Week 6. Regardless of this, fantasy managers can place belief in Rachaad White of their lineups. The 49ers’ protection ranks among the many prime 10 within the league in targets and receptions allowed to operating backs per recreation. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The 49ers are 13-2 ATS of their previous 15 video games as a house favourite (10-2 ATS at house since begin of final season). Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: 49ers 28, Buccaneers 21
Walder’s choose: 49ers 26, Buccaneers 19
FPI prediction: SF, 81.2% (by a mean of 11.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Mayfield (thumb) OK to face 49ers … Purdy after 17 NFL begins … Bucs look to take momentum into 49ers recreation

4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: BUF -7 (39.5)

Storyline to observe: Joe Brady’s first recreation as interim offensive coordinator will include fairly the problem going in opposition to a Jets protection that held Buffalo to 16 factors in Week 1 and compelled three QB Josh Allen interceptions and a fumble. How the Payments’ offense seems below Brady and going in opposition to a protection that enables the third-fewest yards per play within the league (4.6) will go a great distance in figuring out the end result of this recreation. — Alaina Getzenberg

Daring prediction: Rookie RB Israel Abanikanda, who can be energetic for the primary time, will finish the Jets’ landing drought with a long term. His sub-4.4 velocity is the primary motive he is getting a shot, leading to Michael Carter’s ouster. The Jets have gone two straight video games with out a landing, one shy of the franchise file (1993 and 2022). — Wealthy Cimini

Stat to know: The Payments have 18 turnovers this season, tied for the second most within the NFL. Buffalo has didn’t win the turnover battle in six straight video games, its longest such streak since 2012 (the Payments have not gone seven straight with out successful the turnover battle since 2003-04).

Matchup X issue: Jets cornerbacks Sauce Gardner and D.J. Reed. Denver confirmed final week that shutting down receiver Stefon Diggs may be an efficient technique in opposition to the Payments, who lack a brilliant threatening No. 2 choice. In Gardner and Reed, the Jets have the corners to do it. — Walder

Accidents: Jets | Payments

What to know for fantasy: Whereas the Jets’ secondary is formidable, New York has allowed the second-most dashing yards per recreation. The Payments’ offensive line ranks second in run block win fee. So do not hesitate to get James Prepare dinner into your lineups. Additionally, really feel assured in beginning tight finish Dalton Kincaid, who could also be relied upon closely in opposition to the Jets as a consequence of their stout secondary. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Payments are 0-6 ATS of their previous 5 video games, 0-5 ATS of their previous 4 video games as a favourite and 0-4 ATS of their previous three video games at house. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Payments 22, Jets 20
Walder’s choose: Payments 23, Jets 13
FPI prediction: BUF, 79.6% (by a mean of 11.1 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Saleh: If Rodgers says he desires to play, he’ll play … Brady’s to-do checklist begins with restoring Allen’s confidence … How the Jets’ offense acquired caught in impartial … Allen says Dorsey would have job if Payments performed higher

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Stephen A. and crew cannot imagine Orlovsky’s protection of Josh Allen’s turnovers

Stephen A. Smith, Damien Woody and Kimberley A. Martin all disagree with Dan Orlovsky’s take that Josh Allen doesn’t have a turnover drawback.

4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: SEA -1 (46.5)

Storyline to observe: Quarterback Matthew Stafford is predicted to play Sunday after injuring his proper thumb in opposition to the Cowboys in Week 8. The Rams’ offense managed simply 187 yards of their loss to the Packers with out Stafford and the workforce has misplaced three in a row. Stafford will face a Seahawks protection that’s permitting 354.3 yards per recreation (twenty fifth within the NFL). — Sarah Barshop

Daring prediction: Boye Mafe will welcome Stafford again from his harm by sacking him at the very least two instances. The Seahawks’ second-year exterior linebacker has a sack in a franchise-record seven consecutive video games. Since stats turned an official statistic in 1982, solely 11 gamers have recorded a sack in eight straight video games in the identical season. Mafe, who ranks fourth amongst edge gamers in cross rush win fee, will be part of that firm Sunday. The Rams have given up 21 sacks this season. — Brady Henderson

Stat to know: Puka Nacua has 827 receiving yards this season. He wants 43 yards to cross Cooper Kupp (869) for the second most by a Rams rookie in franchise historical past.

Matchup X issue: Seahawks cornerback Devon Witherspoon. He performs largely within the slot nowadays, and meaning frequent matchups with Kupp. When Stafford is wholesome, the Rams’ offense may be feisty, so Seattle’s protection might want to present up. — Walder

Accidents: Seahawks | Rams

What to know for fantasy: The Seahawks’ protection has allowed essentially the most dashing yards per recreation (173.7) over the previous three video games. This season, Seattle has allowed the fifth-most fantasy factors per recreation to operating backs. For Darrell Henderson Jr., it is a nice matchup. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Rams have coated six straight conferences, together with playoffs. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Rams 27, Seahawks 19
Walder’s choose: Seahawks 30, Rams 27
FPI prediction: LAR, 55.1% (by a mean of 1.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Mafe making spectacular second-year leap … Stafford feels assured forward of return from harm … 4 largest points the Rams should grapple with

8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Unfold: DEN -2.5 (42.5)

Storyline to observe: It is about who retains the momentum. Joshua Dobbs has been a lifeguard for the Vikings at quarterback since Kirk Cousins’ season-ending harm (torn proper Achilles). He has two wins in Minnesota’s present five-game win streak, he already has a game-winning drive on his transient résumé, and he has thrown three landing passes with out an interception. The Broncos? They’re on their first three-game win streak since September 2021, together with wins over the Chiefs and Payments prior to now two weeks and 9 takeaways in these two video games — greater than that they had of their first seven video games mixed. If Denver wins the takeaway battle on this one, it may have its first four-game win streak since 2016. — Jeff Legwold

Daring prediction: The Vikings will rush for greater than 146 yards. Their excessive mark to date was the 146 dashing yards they compiled two weeks in the past at Atlanta, spurred by Dobbs’ 66 yards in scrambles. The Vikings could have their finest workforce dashing recreation of the season in opposition to a Broncos protection that ranks final within the NFL in run cease win fee (26.9%) and allowed 192 yards in Week 10 to the Payments. — Kevin Seifert

Stat to know: Denver quarterback Russell Wilson has had 5 video games with two or extra passing touchdowns and no interceptions this season. He would be part of Peyton Manning as solely Broncos QBs with six or extra video games with a number of passing touchdowns and no interceptions in a season (Manning did it in three straight seasons from 2012 to ’14).

Matchup X issue: Minnesota’s defensive again blitz performs. When the Vikings ship a DB in as a pass-rusher, the protection permits negative-0.14 EPA per play. That may very well be a key to stopping quarterback Wilson and the Broncos’ offense. — Walder

Accidents: Vikings | Broncos

What to know for fantasy: Dobbs turned the primary participant in league historical past to file at the very least 400 passing yards, 100 dashing yards and no interceptions in his first two video games with a brand new workforce. You possibly can belief him in opposition to a Broncos protection that is taking part in higher however nonetheless permits the seventh-most fantasy factors per recreation to quarterbacks. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS on the street this season (4-0 ATS in previous 4 video games). Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Broncos 24, Vikings 20
Walder’s choose: Vikings 23, Broncos 20
FPI prediction: MIN, 57.4% (by a mean of two.6 factors)

Matchup must-reads: How has the Vikings’ offense excelled with out Jefferson? … What’s gone proper and unsuitable with Broncos playcalling to date

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN/ABC | Unfold: KC -2.5 (45.5)

Storyline to observe: That is the ninth time groups that performed each other within the Tremendous Bowl meet once more throughout the next common season, and the defending Tremendous Bowl champions are 6-2 in such video games. Nevertheless it’s not sensible to count on a high-scoring recreation just like the 38-35 Tremendous Bowl. The Chiefs are a lot improved defensively (second within the league in factors allowed) however solely center of the pack in factors scored. — Adam Teicher

Daring prediction: Quarterback Jalen Hurts will rating a pair of dashing touchdowns. He has been slowed by left knee ache for a number of weeks and has averaged simply 21 dashing yards over the previous three video games in comparison with 42 yards on common over the primary six. However he has had time to relaxation in the course of the bye and is dealing with a Chiefs unit that ranks fifth in cross protection (176 yards per recreation). He’ll possible have to choose up his floor manufacturing to maintain the offense transferring. — Tim McManus

Stat to know: Over the previous two seasons, Patrick Mahomes and Hurts each rank within the prime 10 within the NFL in landing passes, with Mahomes throwing an NFL-best 58 in that point. However Mahomes has averaged 4.4 air yards on his landing passes over that span, the shortest of any QB. Hurts, although, has averaged the second-most air yards per landing cross because the begin of 2022 (minimal 10 passing touchdowns).

Matchup X issue: Whoever on Philadelphia’s protection is masking tight finish Travis Kelce. Within the Tremendous Bowl final 12 months, Darius Slay lined up reverse Kelce greater than anybody else and (since-departed) linebacker T.J. Edwards was the closest defender to him most frequently on his targets. Whether or not it is the corners, linebackers or safeties marking Kelce, that is the important thing defender on any given play. Should you cease Kelce, the Chiefs’ offense is way much less threatening. — Walder

Accidents: Eagles | Chiefs

What to know for fantasy: The Eagles hand over essentially the most fantasy factors per recreation to broad receivers, which bodes nicely for Rashee Rice. He leads the Chiefs’ receivers in each targets and receiving yards. Rice is the Chiefs’ prime receiver and may see ample targets in opposition to the Eagles. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Coach Andy Reid is 21-3 outright and 15-9 ATS in his profession off a bye. He’s 8-2 outright and 5-5 ATS off a bye with the Chiefs. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Chiefs 31, Eagles 28
Walder’s choose: Eagles 24, Chiefs 23
FPI prediction: KC, 60.5% (by a mean of three.6 factors)

Matchup must-reads: How the Eagles must alter to life with out Goedert … Philly radio station will not play Swift forward of Chiefs-Eagles … 15 large questions on Eagles-Chiefs